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Creators/Authors contains: "Schennach, Susanne M."

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  1. The search for one-step alternatives to the Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) has identified broad classes of potential estimators such as Generalized Empirical Likelihoods (GEL), Empirical Cressie-Read (ECR), Exponentially Tilted Empirical Likelihood (ETEL) and minimum discrepancy (MD) estimators. While Empirical Likelihood (EL) dominates other ECR estimators in terms of higher-order asymptotics, it lacks robustness to model misspecification. ETEL was shown to combine higher-order efficiency and robustness to misspecification, but demands strong moment generating function existence conditions. We show, both theoretically and via simulations, how to achieve the same goal under weaker moment existence conditions, within the class of MD estimators. 
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  2. We show that a standard linear triangular two equation system can be point identified, without the use of instruments or any other side information. We find that the only case where the model is not point identified is when a latent variable that causes endogeneity is normally distributed. In this nonidentified case, we derive the sharp identified set. We apply our results to Acemoglu and Johnson’s model of life expectancy and GDP, obtaining point identification and comparable estimates to theirs, without using their (or any other) instrument. 
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  3. Abstract The traditional approach to obtain valid confidence intervals for non-parametric quantities is to select a smoothing parameter such that the bias of the estimator is negligible relative to its standard deviation. While this approach is apparently simple, it has two drawbacks: first, the question of optimal bandwidth selection is no longer well-defined, as it is not clear what ratio of bias to standard deviation should be considered negligible. Second, since the bandwidth choice necessarily deviates from the optimal (mean squares-minimizing) bandwidth, such a confidence interval is very inefficient. To address these issues, we construct valid confidence intervals that account for the presence of a non-negligible bias and thus make it possible to perform inference with optimal mean squared error minimizing bandwidths. The key difficulty in achieving this involves finding a strict, yet feasible, bound on the bias of a non-parametric estimator. It is well-known that it is not possible to consistently estimate the pointwise bias of an optimal non-parametric estimator (for otherwise, one could subtract it and obtain a faster convergence rate violating Stone’s bounds on the optimal convergence rates). Nevertheless, we find that, under minimal primitive assumptions, it is possible to consistently estimate an upper bound on the magnitude of the bias, which is sufficient to deliver a valid confidence interval whose length decreases at the optimal rate and which does not contradict Stone’s results. 
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